How would Atlanta or the New York teams fare in other leagues? How about the Colorado Rapids?
We have no idea. But FiveThirtyEight runs its statistical magic on such things, so why not play around with the data and do some projecting?
First, let’s take a look at all the leagues whose clubs are in the rankings and compare them three ways:
- Mean (average)
- Median
- Sum of top five (the “cross-country meet” scoring system)
This is what we get, sorted by mean …
LEAGUE | COUNTRY | MEAN | MEDIAN | TOP 5 |
La Liga | Spain | 45.3 | 36.0 | 59 |
Bundesliga | Germany | 52.7 | 46.5 | 87 |
Premier League | England | 80.0 | 87.0 | 42 |
Serie A | Italy | 93.1 | 99.0 | 58 |
Ligue 1 | France | 108.0 | 108.5 | 159 |
Russia PL | Russia | 148.4 | 121.0 | 248 |
Brasileirão | Brazil | 207.3 | 207.0 | 503 |
Superliga | Argentina | 223.3 | 206.0 | 546 |
Süper Lig | Turkey | 223.7 | 243.5 | 339 |
Primeira Liga | Portugal | 229.4 | 261.5 | 381 |
Super League | Switzerland | 237.4 | 251.0 | 668 |
Liga MX | Mexico | 257.8 | 264.5 | 848 |
La Liga 2 | Spain | 261.5 | 243.5 | 818 |
Bund (Austria) | Austria | 268.3 | 276.0 | 797 |
Eredivisie | Netherlands | 285.6 | 323.5 | 430 |
2. Bundesliga | Germany | 294.7 | 312.0 | 1075 |
Championship | England | 303.8 | 335.5 | 842 |
Allsvenskan | Sweden | 331.2 | 379.0 | 820 |
Ligue 2 | France | 340.3 | 383.5 | 951 |
Serie B | Italy | 349.0 | 386.0 | 1089 |
MLS | USA | 363.3 | 376.0 | 1277 |
Eliteserien | Norway | 366.9 | 400.0 | 1168 |
Premiership | Scotland | 368.7 | 423.0 | 1286 |
The top MLS team in the rankings is Atlanta United (213), then NYCFC (231, pending a likely loss to Seattle in a few minutes) and the New York Red Bulls (234). Here’s how Atlanta would stack up in each league.
- 2nd: Scottish Premiership
- 3rd: 2. Bundesliga (Germany)
- 3rd: Eliteserien (Norway)
- 3rd: Ligue 2 (France)
- 3rd: Serie B
- 4th: Austrian Bundesliga
- 5th: Premeira Liga (Portugal)
- 6th: Allsvenskan (Sweden)
- 6th: Eredivisie
- 6th: Championship (England — in the playoffs!)
- 6th: Super League (Switzerland)
- 7th: Liga MX (also in the playoffs, maybe)
- 9th: Süper Lig (Turkey)
- 10th: La Liga 2
- 13th: Brasileirão
- 14th: Russian Premier League
- 16th: Superliga (Argentina)
- 20th: Ligue 1 (ahead of Metz)
- 20th: Serie A (ahead of Verona)
- Last: Bundesliga, La Liga, Premier League
The 10th-ranked team in MLS is LAFC at 356th. How would they rank elsewhere?
- 5th: Scottish Premiership
- 6th: Eliteserien (Norway)
- 8th: Austrian Bundesliga
- 8th: Allsvenskan (Sweden)
- 9th: Super League (Switzerland)
- 9th: Ligue 2 (France)
- 10th: Serie B
- 11th: Eredivisie
- 15th: Russian Premier League (ahead of two)
- 16th: 2. Bundesliga (Germany)
- 17th: Championship (England)
- 17th: Süper Lig (Turkey)
- 18th: Liga MX (ahead of Veracruz)
- 20th: La Liga 2 (has 22 teams, so ahead of three)
- 27th: Superliga (Argentina)
- Last: Bundesliga, La Liga, Premier League, Brasileirão, Ligue 1, Premeira Liga (Portugal, barely), Serie A
Colorado is ranked 449th. They would finish last in each league except Ligue 2, Allsvenskan (Sweden), Eredivisie (??!!), Scottish Premiership, Eliteserien (Norway) and the Super Lig (Turkey). They wouldn’t be relegated in Sweden or Scotland. Everywhere else, they’re second- or third-tier.